Almonty, Industries

Almonty Industries: Sangdong Is Producing, but Dual Delistings Are Driving the Stock

Published on 07/28/2026 at 04:22 | Redaktion boerse-global.de

Almonty becomes tungsten producer at Sangdong plant, but stock falls 45% amid delisting pressure and structural selling overhang.

Almonty Industries Stock Slumps Despite Tungsten Production Milestone
Almonty Industries: Sangdong Is Producing, but Dual Delistings Are Driving the Stock Illustration mit AI erstellt ĂĽbermittelt durch boerse-global.de

The moment Almonty Industries officially became a tungsten producer rather than a mine developer, the market responded with a shrug — and then a sell-off. On Monday, shares closed at C$18.11, down 3.72% on the day and 45.7% below the April record high of C$33.35. The 30-day decline of roughly 21% has left investors puzzling over a stock that is simultaneously delivering milestones and losing value.

The disconnect stems from a clash between operational progress and structural selling pressure. Almonty’s Sangdong processing plant in South Korea began throughput operations on July 1, 2026, converting run-of-mine ore into saleable tungsten concentrate. That transition from developer to producer is the single most important event in the company’s history. Yet the stock has been under relentless pressure for reasons that have little to do with the mine itself.

The Technical Overhang

Almonty is voluntarily delisting from the Toronto Stock Exchange at the close of trading on July 31, 2026, followed by a departure from the Australian Securities Exchange on September 1. Management has framed the moves as a cost-cutting exercise and a strategic refocus on the company’s new U.S. headquarters in Montana. Going forward, liquidity will be concentrated on the Nasdaq and in Frankfurt.

For existing shareholders who cannot or will not hold Nasdaq-listed positions, the delistings leave only one option: sell. That forced selling has created a technical overhang that has overwhelmed the positive news flow. The 21.26% drop over the past 30 days is a textbook example of structural selling pressure, not a vote of no confidence in the Sangdong ramp-up.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Almonty?

The $490 Million Backstop

Beneath the noise of the exchange exits, the commercial foundation of the business has been dramatically strengthened. Almonty expanded its long-term offtake agreement with Global Tungsten & Powders, a subsidiary of the Plansee Group, extending the term to 21 years and increasing the contracted tungsten volume by 40% to 4.41 million MTU. At current tungsten prices, the deal secures annual revenue of approximately $490 million.

CEO Lewis Black described the arrangement as giving Almonty "a depth of contracted revenue visibility that no other producer in the industry achieves." The company also holds a stockpile of ore with an estimated gross value of roughly $68 million, providing a bridge to initial cash flows while the plant stabilizes. If ammonium paratungstate prices remain elevated — supported by repeated Chinese export restrictions — margins per tonne could expand further, even before Phase II capacity comes into play.

The Execution Risk

A contracted revenue figure of $490 million is not the same as delivered revenue. The plant remains in commissioning mode, and management is deliberately feeding lower-grade ore through the circuit initially before transitioning to higher-grade material. Until throughput volumes and ore quality normalize, the headline contract value represents a ceiling of potential, not confirmed cash flow.

The Phase I production covered by the GTP agreement is the only game in town for now. The planned Phase II expansion, which would roughly double Sangdong’s annual processing capacity, remains unfunded and unbuilt — a distant catalyst rather than a near-term driver.

Independent research houses have flagged Almonty’s near-term financial position as stretched. One analysis noted that the company’s score is weighed down by weak profitability and persistent cash burn, even as revenue growth and gross margins improve. The convertible debenture issued in June, worth C$700 million, adds a layer of debt-servicing risk and potential dilution. Management has set a hard deadline of Q3 2026 to reach full processing throughput. Any delay would fuel doubts about the company’s ability to service its debt before major maturities arrive in 2027.

Chart Signals and the Path Forward

The technical picture offers little immediate comfort. The 14-day relative strength index has fallen to 36.9, approaching the oversold threshold of 30. The stock now trades 5.6% below its 200-day moving average of C$19.18, a level that could act as resistance on any bounce. Annualized 30-day volatility stands at 81.4%, underscoring the stock’s sensitivity to news flow and order flow alike.

Yet the sell-off has occurred against the backdrop of a 267.34% gain over the past 12 months. The current drawdown looks more like a necessary pause in a longer-term growth story than a structural reversal — provided the Sangdong ramp-up continues without major disruptions.

Almonty at a turning point? This analysis reveals what investors need to know now.

What Comes Next

The next concrete milestones are production and shipment updates from Sangdong as the plant moves beyond the initial low-grade ore phase. Each update on Phase II financing will also be closely watched, as that expansion remains the swing factor for whether Almonty’s growth story extends beyond the Phase I ceiling.

For now, the technical selling pressure from the dual delistings is likely to dominate price action until the TSX exit is complete on July 31. After that, the market’s attention should shift back to the revenue ramp from Sangdong. The bull case rests on operational execution catching up with contractual commitments. The bear case warns that the gap between potential and realized cash flow could widen if the ramp-up proves slower or more inconsistent than expected.

Either way, the next few weeks will determine whether the stock has found a floor — or whether the gap between promise and delivery has further to go.

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