Rheinmetall Racks Up Orders Across Europe and Beyond, but the Market Remains Unimpressed
Published on 07/11/2026 at 05:14 | Redaktion boerse-global.deThe defence contractor Rheinmetall has notched another busy week of contract wins, yet the pile-up of new business has done nothing to arrest the steady erosion in its share price. The stock closed on Friday at €993.00, shedding 1.9% on the day and leaving it down 9.48% over the week. Since the start of the year the equity has lost 38%, and over the past twelve months the decline has deepened to 46.25%.
The disconnect between operational activity and market sentiment is stark. On 8 July the company announced a joint venture with Croatian specialist DOK-ING, having already acquired a 51% stake in the firm on 1 July. The new entity, Rheinmetall Unmanned Vehicles d.o.o., will pool DOK-ING’s three decades of experience in unmanned systems with Rheinmetall’s global manufacturing reach. Croatia is set to become a European hub for autonomous ground platforms designed for combat support, engineering tasks and mine clearance.
Just a day earlier, on 7 July, Rheinmetall signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding with Lockheed Martin to jointly produce ATACMS missiles in Europe. Under the plan, solid-propellant motors and other components will be manufactured at Rheinmetall’s site in Unterlüß from 2027. While final assembly has not yet been officially confirmed, the deal positions Rheinmetall as a central player in Europe’s push to reduce reliance on non-European supply chains for precision-strike munitions that are compatible with HIMARS and M270 MLRS launchers.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Rheinmetall?
Two further naval contracts followed in quick succession. On 9 July the German Federal Office of Bundeswehr Equipment, Information Technology and In-Service Support commissioned the HEL consortium — a joint venture between Rheinmetall and MBDA Deutschland — to develop a high-energy laser weapon for the German Navy. The contract, valued in the mid three-digit million euro range, aims to deliver a ready-for-use system by 2029. A day later, Kuwait placed its first order for the MASS naval decoy system; the deal, worth a mid two-digit million euro sum, will equip eight Kuwaiti vessels with the countermeasure system and associated ammunition.
Yet for all the deal flow, investors remain fixated on a single setback: the loss of the multi-billion-euro F126 frigate programme at the end of June. That disappointment has shattered confidence in Rheinmetall’s ability to execute on large-scale projects, and the market is now pricing in a significant risk premium. Both the 50-day moving average of €1,168.88 and the 200-day moving average of €1,518.21 sit well above the current price, underlining the persistent downtrend.
Technical indicators paint a picture of a stock that is deeply out of favour. The relative strength index stands at 37.2, just shy of the oversold threshold, while the annualised 30-day volatility of 68.77% reflects the acute nervousness gripping the stock. At €993.00, the share is now more than 50% below its 52-week high of €1,995.00, hit on 29 September 2025, and only about 10% above the year’s low of €902.50, reached on 25 June.
Despite the market’s gloom, the structural case for Rheinmetall has arguably strengthened. NATO members continue to boost defence budgets, and the company is adding production capacity — from Croatia to Unterlüß — that should underpin revenue growth for years. With a market capitalisation of €49.52 billion, it remains one of Europe’s largest defence groups. Whether the recent string of contract wins can reverse the loss of investor trust will depend heavily on the next quarterly results and on delivery of the projects now being announced.
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Rheinmetall Stock: New Analysis - 11 July
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