Hynix’s, Profits

SK Hynix’s Profits Soar to Record Heights While a Leverage Trap Wipes Out Billions in Market Value

Published on 07/21/2026 at 15:13 | Redaktion boerse-global.de

SK Hynix posts record profit beating Samsung, dominates HBM at 58% share, but stock crashes 40% after ADR debut triggers margin calls and Korean bear market.

SK Hynix: Record Profit vs. 40% Stock Crash Amid Leverage Crisis
SK Hynix’s Profits Soar to Record Heights While a Leverage Trap Wipes Out Billions in Market Value Illustration mit AI erstellt übermittelt durch boerse-global.de

SK Hynix finds itself in a jarring contradiction. The memory-chip maker just delivered an operating profit that surpassed Samsung Electronics for the first time—47.2 trillion won versus 43.6 trillion won in the 2025 fiscal year—while commanding a dominant 58% share of the global HBM market. Yet the company’s stock has been in turmoil, plummeting 40.94% from its June 52-week high and dragging the broader Korean market into a bear. The culprit is not an operational misstep but a catastrophic unwinding of leveraged positions triggered by the company’s Nasdaq debut.

The trouble began with a spectacular ADR offering. SK Hynix raised over $26 billion at $149 per share, an issue that was seven times oversubscribed. The American depositary receipts jumped about 12% on their first trading day. But the euphoria quickly soured. On July 13, the Seoul-listed shares crashed 15% in a single session—the steepest daily drop in roughly two decades—forcing the Korea Exchange to temporarily halt trading. The ADR fell 7.9% to $154.70. A widening premium between the two listings, which at one point reached around 50%, only amplified the dislocation.

What followed was a cascade of forced selling. From late May, South Korean retail investors had poured the equivalent of $9.5 billion into leveraged ETFs tracking Samsung and SK Hynix. The KODEX SK Hynix 2x Leverage ETF lost roughly 70% from its June high. More than one million margin accounts were called, with between 320,000 and 360,000 fully liquidated. Regulators responded by tightening margin requirements for single-stock leveraged products, and in the first day alone, $8.6 billion changed hands across the 16 affected ETFs. The Kospi bore the brunt as well: it fell 4.5% on July 20 to 6,516.28 points, sliding more than 25% below its June peak—the textbook definition of a bear market.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying SK Hynix?

In the midst of this turmoil, SK Group Chairman Chey Tae-won issued a remarkable warning. He described current memory prices as “abnormally high” and called for supply expansion rather than profit maximization from the shortage. Artificial intelligence-driven price spikes, he cautioned, could hurt PC and smartphone makers or lure new competitors. His remarks carry weight given SK Hynix’s market power: according to Counterpoint Research, it controlled 58% of global HBM revenue in the first quarter, well ahead of Micron and Samsung, each at 21%. CEO Kwak Noh-jung, meanwhile, expects the worst supply crunch to arrive in 2027.

Despite the caution on prices, capital spending is accelerating. SK Hynix moved forward the first clean-room startup at its Yongin cluster to February 2027 from May, committed an additional $21 billion in March, and is converting its Cheongju M15X facility into a dedicated DRAM base for high-bandwidth memory. The company is betting that the hyperscaler demand wave—Bank of America pegs global capex at $851 billion this year and $1.15 trillion in 2026—will sustain orders even if consumer-electronics clients balk at elevated pricing.

The next catalyst for the stock is a dense calendar of binary events. SK Hynix reports second-quarter results on July 29, the same day Microsoft and Meta deliver their numbers. Hana Securities estimates that a beat from Alphabet, which reports on July 22, could lift SK Hynix shares an average of 17% over the following four weeks; a miss might shave off about 3%. Also looming is the Shanghai debut of Chinese DRAM rival CXMT, which is expected to raise roughly $8.6 billion in what could be Asia’s largest IPO of the year—and which has already increased its DRAM market share from 3% to 8% in a single quarter.

For SK Hynix, the tension is between an operating performance that has never been stronger and the broken mechanicals of a stock that has never been more volatile. The chairman has told investors not to assume the current pricing lasts, even as the company builds capacity to meet a demand supercycle that its own CEO describes as the tightest on record. The outcome of that balancing act will determine whether the stock’s 171% year-to-date gain—still intact despite the carnage—represents a pause in a long uptrend or the beginning of a deeper correction.

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